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Peixeiro M. Time Series Forecasting Using Foundation Models 2026
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Description:
Textbook in PDF format
Make accurate time series predictions with powerful pretrained foundation models!
You donât need to spend weeksâor even monthsâcoding and training your own models for time series forecasting. Time Series Forecasting Using Foundation Models shows you how to make accurate predictions using flexible pretrained models.
In Time Series Forecasting Using Foundation Models you will discover
The inner workings of large time models
Zero-shot forecasting on custom datasets
Fine-tuning foundation forecasting models
Evaluating large time models
Time Series Forecasting Using Foundation Models teaches you how to do efficient forecasting using powerful time series models that have already been pretrained on billions of data points. Youâll appreciate the hands-on examples that show you what you can accomplish with these amazing models. Along the way, youâll learn how time series foundation models work, how to fine-tune them, and how to use them with your own data.
About the technology
Time-series forecasting is the art of analyzing historical, time-stamped data to predict future outcomes. Foundational time series models like TimeGPT and Chronos, pre-trained on billions of data points, can now effectively augment or replace painstakingly-built custom time-series models.
About the book
Time Series Forecasting Using Foundation Models takes a practical approach to solving time series problems using pre-trained foundation models. In this easy-to-follow guide, youâll learn instantly-useful skills like zero-shot forecasting and informing pretrained models with your own data. Youâll put theory into practice immediately as you start building your own small-scale foundation model to illustrate pretraining, transfer learning, and fine-tuning in chapter 2. Next, youâll dive into cutting-edge models like TimeGPT and Chronos and see how they can deliver zero-shot probabilistic forecasting, point forecasting, and more. Youâll even find out how you can reprogram an LLM into a time-series forecaster. All the Python code and hands-on experiments run on a normal laptop. No high-performance GPU required!
What's inside
How large time models work
Zero-shot forecasting on custom datasets
Fine-tuning and evaluating foundation models
About the reader
For data scientists and machine learning engineers familiar with the basics of time series forecasting theory. Examples in Python.
About the author
Marco Peixeiro builds cutting-edge open-source forecasting Python libraries at Nixtla. He is the author of Time Series Forecasting in Python.
Table of Contents
Part 1
Understanding foundation models
Building a foundation model
Part 2
Forecasting with TimeGPT
Zero-shot probabilistic forecasting with Lag-Llama
Learning the language of time with Chronos
Moirai: A universal forecasting transformer
Deterministic forecasting with TimesFM
Part 3
Forecasting as a language task
Reprogramming an LLM for forecasting
Part 4
Capstone project: Forecasting daily visits to a blog
Get a free eBook (PDF or EPUB) from Manning as well as access to the online liveBook format (and its AI assistant that will answer your questions in any language) when you purchase the print book